If you’re new to Baccarat betting, the chances are that you’ve heard you “should always bet in the Banker.” This isn’t only one of the most quoted gambling sayings.
Betting with the Banker not only the easiest but also the most secure baccarat strategy. It all comes back to basic math.
The first thing to note is that there is a theoretical edge for betting on the Banker, as previously mentioned was 1.06 percent. By the same token, the return to the player (RTP) also known as payout ratio for banker bets is 98.94 percent.
If we consider that you placed a hundred dollars bets with the Bank hand, then you’ll get $98.94 back. It is important to remember that this is a hypothetical metric and it only tells you the odds that a particular bet is better or worse than another.
The RTP of betting to bet on the Bank hand of 98.94 percent indicates that it’s marginally better than a Player hand bet that has an RTP of 98.76 percent. In the same way, betting on a tie is less than either because of its relatively modest RTP 85.64 percent.
The reason betting on the Banker is an excellent idea extends beyond the house edge and RTP however. Let’s take a closer study of the mathematical basis behind the Banker betting baccarat strategy:
If the casino has eight decks of 52 cards that are standard; Tie bets are paid at 8:1; banker bets pay evens minus 5 percent commission; and that there’s a 1:1 payoff for player bets, then the math says:
* Player hand loses 45.87 percent, but wins 44.63 percent. Then, the hand tie 9.51 percent.
* Bank Hand, on the other, loses 44.65 percent, is successful 45.87 percent and is tied at 9.51 percent.
If we remove all hands tied from the equation If we remove all hands that tie, then the Bank Hand loses 49.32 percent of the hands, but it also wins 50.68 percent. On the flip side, 50.68 percent of Player hands lose but 49.32 percent win.
Based on this mathematic backdrop, it’s apparent that Bank Hand bets on the other hand are more prone to be successful than losing, whereas hand bets on player hands are more often lost than win. To compensate for this the 5 percent commission on winning Banker bets.
Even if you take into account the 5 percent charge and ignore hands that tie the banker hand’s house advantage remains a favorable 1.17 percent. In other words, every $100 worth of Banker bets will result in a loss of $1.17, while similar bets on the hand of a player will result in a loss of $1.36.
The numbers aren’t lying: it is more likely that you will win if you trust your money to the Banker!
Do not get it wrong however. Betting on only the Player has an almost similarly low house edge, which is 1.36 percent. That means it is an acceptable สมัครบาคาร่า strategy.
The Martingale System and Other Betting Strategies
Apart from removing the tie bet as well as betting with the Banker some sophisticated betting systems can complement your Baccarat strategy.
One of the most widely utilized betting techniques is called The Martingale System.
Popularized during the 1800s in France and France, the Martingale System is a common system of progressively adjusting bets for casino games. It is especially suitable for Baccarat. It also works like the charms of to other table games like roulette, blackjack and even craps.
Beyond gambling, the system has been used to trade FX or securities as well as other investment vehicles that call for long-term profits.
Martingale System Martingale System was devised by one French mathematician by the name Paul Pierre Levy, although some people believe that it was conceived by a shady casino owner named John Martingale.
What exactly is it that makes it work? The Martingale System borrows from the concept of Mean Revision, which says that historical returns as well as the prices of assets (such as Oil, Gold, Stock, FX, etc.) will revert to the long-term median or average.
In the game of baccarat, in specific, the system assumes that the payout will be close to the bet’s RTP in the long-run. In layman terms, a hand is bound to be successful at some moment.
Once you’re down to brass tacks, the classic Martingale System suggests that you should increase your stake for the next bet, if your previous bet was unsuccessful.
For example, if you place a $10 bet on the Bank hand, and is lost, you must place a bet of $20 on the same hand. But the odds don’t stop there.
The theory is that you should keep betting until you get a win. If the following bet of $20 loses then you’ll need to increase it to 40 on the following bet. This is four times your original bet.
When you make a win the next step is to take your winnings and return to your original wager. From our example, if your $40 bet on the Banker pays off, you should go back to the original bet of $10.
The main idea behind the Martingale system is that the person betting will be the winner of the largest bet of the cycle. In our instance, the Player won a total of $80 (inclusive of the stake) for a total stake at $700 ($10+$20+$40).
As you can see, the system has a nearly 100 percent success rate in the long run. Despite looking like a sure-thing but it isn’t. Martingale System is not without some inherent risks and issues which include:
It’s not the best option for someone with a small money-flow, since you may find yourself short of funds quickly or before you can hit the much-anticipated win.
* If you suffer multiple losses at a time, doubling your bet may exceed the limit of the table. That’s certainly a huge bummer because you’ll not have the opportunity to double your stake for the second time.
* You may have to bet many times in order to make a decent sum of cash.
Certain casinos aren’t able to allow the use of the Martingale System.
There are a few other systems that have been proven to be equally successful, such as Fibonacci Paroli, Labouchere, and Doubles.
The Fibonacci Strategy
A Fibonacci baccarat technique is a type of betting strategy in which the amount you be bet following a loss is dictated by the Fibonacci sequence. It is a well-known natural number sequence that states that the next number in a series is determined by the sum of the previous two numbers.
The sequence looks something like this: 1 3, 5, 8, 13 21 34, 55, etc.
As opposed to the Martingale strategy, there’s plenty of math that goes into this technique. However, you don’t need to be a math guru to put this strategy to use.
For every bet that you lose, you should increase the stake on the following bet. This process continues until you hit a victory. Similar to the previous system the Fibonacci system is based on the idea of mean revision.
You might be thinking, why would I be tempted to keep expanding my bets on a given hand when I have already lost money? It is believed that if you make an ever-larger bet regardless of the losses and you’ll end up winning back the two losing bets at some time.
A sample might suffice. Let’s assume you placed an initial bet of $10 on the hand of the player.
If you lose your first two bets then your third bet should be 3x the initial wager, i.e. $30 (3x$10). If the third bet pays out, you’ll receive $30 in winnings which means you’ve gained back the amount you had lost on the previous two wagers.
If your losing streak extends to three consecutive days and your fourth bet should be $50 or 5x your original bet. If luck plays to your advantage and you are able to win the fourth round that means you’ll get $50 in winnings, which is the sum of your last two losing hands, i.e. $20+$30
It’s as simple as that: place a bet of $10 until you lose, then bet $20 until you lose. If you lose the $20 bet, go ahead and increase it to $50. After that, $20, $80, $130 $340 … just follow to the Fibonacci sequence.
When you win regardless of the stage, you should revert to your initial bet of $10.